Flamengo RJ

2 - 2

Vasco

Flamengo RJ Home Streak: 29 Games Without Defeat.

Sun, May 3, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 43%
D: 57%
Away: 0%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.08 - 2.50 - 8.33)
HOMETEAM: 48%
40%
AWAYTEAM: 12%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (42.11)
Intensity: [Moderate] (57.89)

Flamengo RJ (Fact Index 2.08):
Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Vasco (Fact Index 8.33):
Expected Win % is 12%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Flamengo RJ:
T : 0.667 (0.757 / ▼0.090)
H : 0.800 (0.902 / ▼0.102)
P : 0.667 (0.711 / ▼0.044)

Vasco:
T : 0.308 (0.482 / ▼0.174)
A : 0.000 (0.386 / ▼0.386)
P : 0.333 (0.500 / ▼0.167)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
100%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
100%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
50%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
100%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Flamengo RJ : 48% (-)
33% (▼ 7%)
Vasco : 19% (▲ 7%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.6 - 0.9 (Model B.4)
Flamengo RJ : 49% (▲ 1%)
38% (▼ 2%)
Vasco : 13% (▲ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 81%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.5 - 4.4 - 6.5
Flamengo RJ : 63% (▲ 15%)
22% (▼ 18%)
Vasco : 15% (▲ 3%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 4 game(s)

HOME : 25%
D : 75%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 1.5 (63%) Trend: 19 game(s)

HOME : 42%
D : 42%
AWAY : 16%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 30%
AWAY : 13%

Based on Home team = 1.5 (63%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 13%
AWAY : 20%


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