Athletico PR

1 - 1

Flamengo RJ

Athletico PR Home Streak: 7 Games Without Defeat. However, Solid: Flamengo RJ haven't dropped all points in 7 outings.

Sun, May 17, 2026 22:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 43%
D: 29%
Away: 29%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.03 - 5.00 - 2.13)
HOMETEAM: 33%
20%
AWAYTEAM: 47%

Weight: [Close] (15.79)
Intensity: [Extreme] (84.21)

Athletico PR (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 31% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

Flamengo RJ (Fact Index 2.13):
Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Athletico PR:
T : 0.467 (0.572 / ▼0.105)
H : 0.750 (0.807 / ▼0.057)
P : 0.333 (0.559 / ▼0.226)

Flamengo RJ:
T : 0.643 (0.742 / ▼0.099)
A : 0.625 (0.674 / ▼0.049)
P : 0.833 (0.836 / ▼0.003)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
50%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
50%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 26 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 31%
19%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 13 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 46%
31%
Underdog : 23%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Athletico PR : 37% (▲ 4%)
20% (-)
Flamengo RJ : 43% (▼ 4%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 0.8 (Model B.4)
Athletico PR : 46% (▲ 13%)
23% (▲ 3%)
Flamengo RJ : 31% (▼ 16%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 66.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 3.2 - 3.4 - 2.2
Athletico PR : 29% (▼ 4%)
28% (▲ 8%)
Flamengo RJ : 43% (▼ 4%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 2 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 50%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Away team = 2.2 (43%) Trend: 15 game(s)

HOME : 20%
D : 27%
AWAY : 53%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 37%
AWAY : 30%

Based on Away team = 2.2 (43%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 36%
D : 27%
AWAY : 37%


User's choice

Voting has closed.

You're the first!

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy