Al Qadsiah

3 - 2

Al Ahli SC

Al Qadsiah are riding a wave of 4 consecutive wins. Meanwhile, Al Ahli SC Away Woes Continue: 3rd Straight Loss.

Tue, Sep 8, 2026 18:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 67%
D: 0%
Away: 33%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.17 - 5.88 - 2.70)
HOMETEAM: 46%
17%
AWAYTEAM: 37%

Weight: [Close] (11.76)
Intensity: [Extreme] (88.24)

Al Qadsiah (Fact Index 2.17):
Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Al Ahli SC (Fact Index 2.70):
Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 22% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Al Qadsiah:
T : 0.800 (0.827 / ▼0.027)
P : 0.800 (0.827 / ▼0.027)

Al Ahli SC:
T : 0.600 (0.687 / ▼0.087)
P : 0.600 (0.687 / ▼0.087)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 23 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
35%
AWAY : 22%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 16 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
19%
Underdog : 31%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.7 - 1.2 (Model A.)
Al Qadsiah : 48% (▲ 2%)
20% (▲ 3%)
Al Ahli SC : 32% (▼ 5%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.7 - 1.6 (Model B.4)
Al Qadsiah : 46% (-)
23% (▲ 6%)
Al Ahli SC : 31% (▼ 6%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 66.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.9 - 3.7 - 3.3
Al Qadsiah : 48% (▲ 2%)
25% (▲ 8%)
Al Ahli SC : 28% (▼ 9%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)

HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 1.9 (48%) Trend: 4 game(s)

HOME : 75%
D : 25%
AWAY : 0%


Football

Odds Trend: 16 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 6%
AWAY : 31%

Based on Home team = 1.9 (48%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 30%
AWAY : 27%


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