Aston Villa

1 - 2

Tottenham

2-Game Losing Streak Plagues Aston Villa. However, Tactical Masterclass: Tottenham reach 3 without dropping all points.

Sun, May 3, 2026 18:00 (UTC)


Facts

Aston Villa :
Emiliano Buendía 90' +6
Tottenham :
Richarlison 25'
Conor Gallagher 12'
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 70%
D: 0%
Away: 30%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.82 - 5.56 - 3.70)
HOMETEAM: 55%
18%
AWAYTEAM: 27%

Aston Villa (Fact Index 1.82): Expected Win % is 55%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Tottenham (Fact Index 3.70): Expected Win % is 27%, compared to a 25% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
25%
AWAY : 25%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 67%
0%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Aston Villa : 38% (▼ 17%)
19% (▲ 1%)
Tottenham : 43% (▲ 16%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Aston Villa | 0.500 | 0.536 | ▲ 0.036
T | Tottenham | 0.235 | 0.432 | ▲ 0.197
H | Aston Villa | 0.647 | 0.629 | ▼ 0.018
A | Tottenham | 0.353 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.147
P | Aston Villa | 0.333 | 0.408 | ▲ 0.075
P | Tottenham | 0.167 | 0.289 | ▲ 0.122
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.8 - 1.3 (Model B.4)
Aston Villa : 55% (-)
24% (▲ 6%)
Tottenham : 21% (▼ 6%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 95.2%)


Average Odds : 2.1 - 3.7 - 3.3
Aston Villa : 45% (▼ 10%)
26% (▲ 8%)
Tottenham : 29% (▲ 2%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 36%
D : 27%
AWAY : 37%

Hometeam = 2.1 Trend:

HOME : 36%
D : 27%
AWAY : 37%

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