Mirassol

1 - 0

Fluminense

Mirassol Home Guardians: 3-Match Unbeaten Streak. Conversely, Fluminense struggling to perform on the road, losing 2 consecutive games.

Sat, May 23, 2026 22:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 67%
D: 0%
Away: 33%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.23 - 3.70 - 2.38)
HOMETEAM: 31%
27%
AWAYTEAM: 42%

Weight: [Distant] (84.21)
Intensity: [One-Sided] (15.79)

Mirassol (Fact Index 3.23):
Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 28% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Fluminense (Fact Index 2.38):
Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 44% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Mirassol:
T : 0.200 (0.403 / ▼0.203)
H : 0.250 (0.469 / ▼0.219)
P : 0.333 (0.419 / ▼0.086)

Fluminense:
T : 0.563 (0.581 / ▼0.018)
A : 0.286 (0.469 / ▼0.183)
P : 0.500 (0.500 / -)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
100%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 25 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 28%
28%
AWAY : 44%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 18 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
39%
Underdog : 11%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Mirassol : 28% (▼ 3%)
26% (▼ 1%)
Fluminense : 46% (▲ 4%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 1.5 (Model B.4)
Mirassol : 29% (▼ 2%)
33% (▲ 6%)
Fluminense : 38% (▼ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 76.2%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.7 - 3.1 - 2.7
Mirassol : 35% (▲ 4%)
30% (▲ 3%)
Fluminense : 35% (▼ 7%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 8 game(s)

HOME : 25%
D : 37%
AWAY : 38%

Based on Home team 2.7 = 2.7 Awayteam = 35% Trend: 9 game(s)

HOME : 22%
D : 45%
AWAY : 33%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 44%
D : 23%
AWAY : 33%

Based on Home team 2.7 = 2.7 Awayteam = 35% Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 30%
AWAY : 27%


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