Everton

3 - 3

Manchester City

Steel and Grit: 12 fixtures undefeated for Manchester City.

Mon, May 4, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

Everton :
Thierno Barry 81', 68'
Jake O'Brien 73'
Manchester City :
Jérémy Doku 90' +7, 43'
Erling Haaland 83'
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 30%
Away: 70%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (5.56 - 3.85 - 1.79)
HOMETEAM: 18%
26%
AWAYTEAM: 56%

Everton (Fact Index 5.56): Expected Win % is 18%, compared to a 18% actual win rate for identical index values.

Manchester City (Fact Index 1.79): Expected Win % is 56%, compared to a 46% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 18%
36%
AWAY : 46%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 43%
43%
Underdog : 14%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Everton : 15% (▼ 3%)
24% (▼ 2%)
Manchester City : 61% (▲ 5%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Everton | 0.382 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.118
T | Manchester City | 0.636 | 0.744 | ▲ 0.108
H | Everton | 0.353 | 0.515 | ▲ 0.162
A | Manchester City | 0.529 | 0.657 | ▲ 0.128
P | Everton | 0.333 | 0.538 | ▲ 0.205
P | Manchester City | 0.667 | 0.767 | ▲ 0.100
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 6.3 - 4.8 - 1.5
Everton : 15% (▼ 3%)
20% (▼ 6%)
Manchester City : 65% (▲ 9%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 23%
D : 23%
AWAY : 54%

Awayteam = 1.5 Trend:

HOME : 17%
D : 27%
AWAY : 56%

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