Burnley

0 - 1

Manchester City

Manchester City dominance: Burnley drop 9th straight matchup. However, Solid: Manchester City haven't dropped all points in 11 outings.

Wed, Apr 22, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

Manchester City :
Erling Haaland 5'
EXTENDED HIGHLIGHTS | Burnley 0-1 Man City | Haaland goal sends City top of the table!
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 0%
Away: 100%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (5.88 - 3.57 - 1.82)
HOMETEAM: 17%
28%
AWAYTEAM: 55%

Burnley (Fact Index 5.88): Expected Win % is 17%, compared to a 17% actual win rate for identical index values.

Manchester City (Fact Index 1.82): Expected Win % is 55%, compared to a 66% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 17%
17%
AWAY : 66%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
25%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 2.5 (Model A.)
Burnley : 18% (▲ 1%)
24% (▼ 4%)
Manchester City : 58% (▲ 3%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Burnley | 0.121 | 0.293 | ▲ 0.172
T | Manchester City | 0.625 | 0.741 | ▲ 0.116
H | Burnley | 0.125 | 0.340 | ▲ 0.215
A | Manchester City | 0.500 | 0.646 | ▲ 0.146
P | Burnley | 0.000 | 0.193 | ▲ 0.193
P | Manchester City | 0.667 | 0.736 | ▲ 0.069
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 15.6 - 8.5 - 1.2
Burnley : 6% (▼ 11%)
11% (▼ 17%)
Manchester City : 83% (▲ 28%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 13%
D : 0%
AWAY : 87%

Awayteam = 1.2 Trend:

HOME : 10%
D : 10%
AWAY : 80%

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