Brentford

3 - 0

West Ham

Brentford Proves Impossible to Beat on Their Own Turf.

Sat, May 2, 2026 14:00 (UTC)


Facts

Brentford :
Mikkel Damsgaard 82'
Igor Thiago 54' (Pen.)
Konstantinos Mavropanos 15' (OG)
West Ham :
-
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 20%
Away: 20%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.78 - 2.33 - 4.76)
HOMETEAM: 36%
43%
AWAYTEAM: 21%

Brentford (Fact Index 2.78): Expected Win % is 36%, compared to a 62% actual win rate for identical index values.

West Ham (Fact Index 4.76): Expected Win % is 21%, compared to a 25% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 62%
13%
AWAY : 25%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 66%
17%
Underdog : 17%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Brentford : 42% (▲ 6%)
34% (▼ 9%)
West Ham : 24% (▲ 3%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Brentford | 0.382 | 0.521 | ▲ 0.139
T | West Ham | 0.265 | 0.397 | ▲ 0.132
H | Brentford | 0.412 | 0.623 | ▲ 0.211
A | West Ham | 0.235 | 0.350 | ▲ 0.115
P | Brentford | 0.000 | 0.441 | ▲ 0.441
P | West Ham | 0.500 | 0.711 | ▲ 0.211
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.8 - 3.7
Brentford : 49% (▲ 13%)
25% (▼ 18%)
West Ham : 26% (▲ 5%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 54%
D : 23%
AWAY : 23%

Hometeam = 2.0 Trend:

HOME : 33%
D : 23%
AWAY : 44%

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