Paju

0 - 1

Suwon

Paju have lost their home advantage, falling in 4 straight games. However, Momentum: 7 matches without a blemish for Suwon FC.

Sat, Aug 8, 2026 11:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 0%
Away: 100%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.00 - 3.70 - 2.08)
HOMETEAM: 25%
27%
AWAYTEAM: 48%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (31.25)
Intensity: [Fierce] (68.75)

Paju (Fact Index 4.00):
Expected Win % is 25%, compared to a 25% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 33% in this event.

Suwon (Fact Index 2.08):
Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 67% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Paju:
T : 0.316 (0.425 / ▼0.109)
H : 0.222 (0.398 / ▼0.176)
A : 0.400 (0.446 / ▼0.046)
P : 0.333 (0.428 / ▼0.095)

Suwon:
T : 0.500 (0.645 / ▼0.145)
H : 0.500 (0.742 / ▼0.242)
A : 0.500 (0.572 / ▼0.072)
P : 0.500 (0.751 / ▼0.251)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 33%
0%
AWAY : 67%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 16 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 25%
25%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 10 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 70%
20%
Underdog : 10%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.7 (Model A.)
Paju : 23% (▼ 2%)
26% (▼ 1%)
Suwon : 51% (▲ 3%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.6 - 0.9 (Model B.4)
Paju : 46% (▲ 21%)
23% (▼ 4%)
Suwon : 31% (▼ 17%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 66.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 4.0 - 3.7 - 1.7
Paju : 23% (▼ 2%)
24% (▼ 3%)
Suwon : 53% (▲ 5%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 0%
AWAY : 100%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (53%) Trend: 7 game(s)

HOME : 29%
D : 14%
AWAY : 57%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 17%
D : 20%
AWAY : 63%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (53%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 20%
D : 27%
AWAY : 53%


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