Liverpool

1 - 1

Burnley

Sat, Jan 17, 2026 15:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 75%
D: 13%
Away: 13%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.45 - 4.55 - 11.11)
HOMETEAM: 69%
22%
AWAYTEAM: 9%

Liverpool (Fact Index 1.45): Expected Win % is 69%, compared to a 80% actual win rate for identical index values.

Burnley (Fact Index 11.11): Expected Win % is 9%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 80%
20%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 67%
33%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 0.5 (Model A.)
Liverpool : 73% (▲ 4%)
23% (▲ 1%)
Burnley : 5% (▼ 4%)


Average Odds : 1.2 - 6.6 - 11.9
Liverpool : 77% (▲ 8%)
15% (▼ 7%)
Burnley : 8% (▼ 1%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 77%
D : 13%
AWAY : 10%

Hometeam = 1.2 Trend:

HOME : 84%
D : 13%
AWAY : 3%

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