Atletico MG

3 - 1

Mirassol

3-Match Unbeaten Streak for Atletico MG. Conversely, Mirassol Away Woes Continue: 2nd Straight Loss.

Sat, May 16, 2026 21:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 67%
D: 33%
Away: 0%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.38 - 3.70 - 3.23)
HOMETEAM: 42%
27%
AWAYTEAM: 31%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (31.58)
Intensity: [Fierce] (68.42)

Atletico MG (Fact Index 2.38):
Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 56% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Mirassol (Fact Index 3.23):
Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 20% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Atletico MG:
T : 0.333 (0.450 / ▼0.117)
H : 0.429 (0.469 / ▼0.040)
P : 0.333 (0.340 / ▼0.007)

Mirassol:
T : 0.214 (0.428 / ▼0.214)
A : 0.167 (0.371 / ▼0.204)
P : 0.333 (0.450 / ▼0.117)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 25 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 56%
24%
AWAY : 20%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 21 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 52%
29%
Underdog : 19%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Atletico MG : 40% (▼ 2%)
24% (▼ 3%)
Mirassol : 36% (▲ 5%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.1 - 1.2 (Model B.4)
Atletico MG : 33% (▼ 9%)
31% (▲ 4%)
Mirassol : 36% (▲ 5%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 71.4%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.1 - 3.3 - 3.6
Atletico MG : 45% (▲ 3%)
29% (▲ 2%)
Mirassol : 26% (▼ 5%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 13 game(s)

HOME : 23%
D : 39%
AWAY : 38%

Based on Home team = 2.1 (45%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 33%
AWAY : 30%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 30%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 2.1 (45%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 27%
AWAY : 30%


User's choice

Voting has closed.

You're the first!

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy