Ventforet Kofu

1 - 2

Toyama

Ventforet Kofu Rut Deepens: 4 Games Without Win. Conversely, Tactical Masterclass: Kataller Toyama reach 5 without dropping all points.

Sat, Oct 3, 2026 07:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 0%
Away: 100%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.70 - 4.76 - 1.92)
HOMETEAM: 27%
21%
AWAYTEAM: 52%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (60.00)
Intensity: [Moderate] (40.00)

Ventforet Kofu (Fact Index 3.70):
Expected Win % is 27%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Toyama (Fact Index 1.92):
Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 28% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 100% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Ventforet Kofu:
T : 0.250 (0.233 / ▲0.017)
H : 0.250 (0.408 / ▼0.158)
A : 0.250 (0.156 / ▲0.094)
P : 0.333 (0.243 / ▲0.090)

Toyama:
T : 0.500 (0.711 / ▼0.211)
H : 0.250 (0.629 / ▼0.379)
A : 0.750 (0.836 / ▼0.086)
P : 0.500 (0.711 / ▼0.211)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 25 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 40%
32%
AWAY : 28%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 21 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 43%
38%
Underdog : 19%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.1 - 1.3 (Model A.)
Ventforet Kofu : 28% (▲ 1%)
25% (▲ 4%)
Toyama : 47% (▼ 5%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 0.7 - 2.0 (Model B.4)
Ventforet Kofu : 16% (▼ 11%)
14% (▼ 7%)
Toyama : 70% (▲ 18%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 71.4%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 4.2 - 3.7 - 1.7
Ventforet Kofu : 22% (▼ 5%)
25% (▲ 4%)
Toyama : 53% (▲ 1%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 4 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (53%) Trend: 9 game(s)

HOME : 22%
D : 0%
AWAY : 78%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 27%
D : 27%
AWAY : 46%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (53%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 7%
D : 33%
AWAY : 60%


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