Leeds

3 - 1

Burnley

Points Piling Up: Leeds reach 6 games unbeaten. Meanwhile, Burnley Reeling: 5th Consecutive Loss.

Fri, May 1, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

Leeds :
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 56'
Noah Okafor 52'
Anton Stach 8'
Burnley :
Loum Tchaouna 71'
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 25%
Away: 25%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.50 - 3.33 - 3.33)
HOMETEAM: 40%
30%
AWAYTEAM: 30%

Leeds (Fact Index 2.50): Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.

Burnley (Fact Index 3.33): Expected Win % is 30%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 37%
33%
AWAY : 30%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 39%
44%
Underdog : 17%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Leeds : 40% (-)
25% (▼ 5%)
Burnley : 35% (▲ 5%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Leeds | 0.265 | 0.452 | ▲ 0.187
T | Burnley | 0.118 | 0.289 | ▲ 0.171
H | Leeds | 0.412 | 0.572 | ▲ 0.160
A | Burnley | 0.118 | 0.263 | ▲ 0.145
P | Leeds | 0.333 | 0.674 | ▲ 0.341
P | Burnley | 0.000 | 0.089 | ▲ 0.089
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 1.4 - 5.1 - 8.1
Leeds : 69% (▲ 29%)
19% (▼ 11%)
Burnley : 12% (▼ 18%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 87%
D : 13%
AWAY : 0%

Hometeam = 1.4 Trend:

HOME : 67%
D : 23%
AWAY : 10%

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