Toulouse

3 - 6

PSG

Sat, Aug 30, 2025 19:05 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 13%
D: 13%
Away: 75%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.45 - 3.33 - 2.38)
HOMETEAM: 29%
30%
AWAYTEAM: 42%

Toulouse (Fact Index 3.45): Expected Win % is 29%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.

PSG (Fact Index 2.38): Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 30%
17%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 53%
20%
Underdog : 27%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 2.5 (Model A.)
Toulouse : 21% (▼ 8%)
28% (▼ 2%)
PSG : 52% (▲ 10%)


Average Odds : 7.7 - 5.2 - 1.4
Toulouse : 12% (▼ 17%)
19% (▼ 11%)
PSG : 69% (▲ 27%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 7%
D : 19%
AWAY : 74%

Awayteam = 1.4 Trend:

HOME : 23%
D : 27%
AWAY : 50%

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