Manchester City

3 - 0

Brentford

Home form is rock solid: Manchester City has gone 16 matches at home without a loss. Meanwhile, Brentford struggling to perform on the road, losing 2 consecutive games.

Sat, May 9, 2026 16:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 70%
D: 10%
Away: 20%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.89 - 3.03 - 7.14)
HOMETEAM: 53%
33%
AWAYTEAM: 14%

Manchester City (Fact Index 1.89): Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

Brentford (Fact Index 7.14): Expected Win % is 14%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 67%
33%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 67%
33%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Manchester City : 45% (▼ 8%)
29% (▼ 4%)
Brentford : 26% (▲ 12%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Manchester City | 0.618 | 0.731 | ▲ 0.113
T | Brentford | 0.400 | 0.540 | ▲ 0.140
H | Manchester City | 0.750 | 0.817 | ▲ 0.067
A | Brentford | 0.353 | 0.419 | ▲ 0.066
P | Manchester City | 0.500 | 0.668 | ▲ 0.168
P | Brentford | 0.167 | 0.592 | ▲ 0.425
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 1.4 - 5.7 - 7.5
Manchester City : 70% (▲ 17%)
17% (▼ 16%)
Brentford : 13% (▼ 1%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 72%
D : 16%
AWAY : 12%

Hometeam = 1.4 Trend:

HOME : 67%
D : 20%
AWAY : 13%

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