Lille

1 - 0

Nantes

Lille: Unbeaten run extended to 4 fixtures. Conversely, Nantes road woes intensify with a 3rd straight away loss.

Sun, Mar 1, 2026 16:15 (UTC)


Facts

Lille :
Nathan Ngoy 90' +4

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 30%
Away: 10%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.92 - 4.76 - 3.70)
HOMETEAM: 52%
21%
AWAYTEAM: 27%

Lille (Fact Index 1.92): Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 68% actual win rate for identical index values.

Nantes (Fact Index 3.70): Expected Win % is 27%, compared to a 9% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 68%
23%
AWAY : 9%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 66%
24%
Underdog : 10%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Lille : 63% (▲ 11%)
19% (▼ 2%)
Nantes : 18% (▼ 9%)


Average Odds : 1.5 - 4.6 - 6.9
Lille : 65% (▲ 13%)
21% (-)
Nantes : 14% (▼ 13%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 63%
D : 37%
AWAY : 0%

Hometeam = 1.5 Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 20%
AWAY : 20%

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