Machida Zelvia

2 - 0

Yokohama FM

Refusing to Yield: Machida Zelvia’s 5-match unbeaten run.

Wed, May 6, 2026 07:00 (UTC)


Facts

Machida Zelvia :
Shota Fujio 66'
Erik 53'
Yokohama FM :
-
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 57%
D: 14%
Away: 29%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.38 - 3.85 - 3.13)
HOMETEAM: 42%
26%
AWAYTEAM: 32%

Machida Zelvia (Fact Index 2.38): Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.

Yokohama FM (Fact Index 3.13): Expected Win % is 32%, compared to a 23% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 57%
20%
AWAY : 23%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
25%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 2.5 (Model A.)
Machida Zelvia : 34% (▼ 8%)
22% (▼ 4%)
Yokohama FM : 44% (▲ 12%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Machida Zelvia | 0.385 | 0.481 | ▲ 0.096
T | Yokohama FM | 0.357 | 0.444 | ▲ 0.087
H | Machida Zelvia | 0.333 | 0.340 | ▲ 0.007
A | Yokohama FM | 0.429 | 0.472 | ▲ 0.043
P | Machida Zelvia | 0.167 | 0.392 | ▲ 0.225
P | Yokohama FM | 0.333 | 0.383 | ▲ 0.050
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.4 - 1.4 (Model B.4)
Machida Zelvia : 36% (▼ 6%)
25% (▼ 1%)
Yokohama FM : 39% (▲ 7%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 95.2%)


Average Odds : 1.8 - 3.5 - 4.4
Machida Zelvia : 53% (▲ 11%)
26% (-)
Yokohama FM : 21% (▼ 11%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 20%
AWAY : 30%

Hometeam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 20%
AWAY : 30%

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