Mirassol

0 - 1

Bragantino

5-Game Losing Streak Plagues Mirassol. Conversely, Unstoppable Bragantino Clinch 2nd Straight Victory.

Sun, Apr 5, 2026 23:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 33%
Away: 67%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.23 - 2.94 - 2.86)
HOMETEAM: 31%
34%
AWAYTEAM: 35%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (52.63)
Intensity: [Moderate] (47.37)

Mirassol (Fact Index 3.23):
Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 46% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

Bragantino (Fact Index 2.86):
Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 17% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 50% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Mirassol:
T : 0.125 (0.416 / ▼0.291)
H : 0.250 (0.500 / ▼0.250)
P : 0.000 (0.340 / ▼0.340)

Bragantino:
T : 0.333 (0.466 / ▼0.133)
A : 0.250 (0.233 / ▲0.017)
P : 0.167 (0.457 / ▼0.290)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 46%
37%
AWAY : 17%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 24 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 59%
33%
Underdog : 8%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Mirassol : 34% (▲ 3%)
30% (▼ 4%)
Bragantino : 36% (▲ 1%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.4 (Model B.4)
Mirassol : 26% (▼ 5%)
28% (▼ 6%)
Bragantino : 46% (▲ 11%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 76.2%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.3 - 3.7
Mirassol : 46% (▲ 15%)
29% (▼ 5%)
Bragantino : 25% (▼ 10%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 16 game(s)

HOME : 49%
D : 38%
AWAY : 13%

Based on Home team = 2.0 (46%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 47%
AWAY : 13%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 54%
AWAY : 13%

Based on Home team = 2.0 (46%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 54%
D : 23%
AWAY : 23%


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