Metz

2 - 5

Lyon

Sun, Jan 25, 2026 16:15 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 22%
D: 22%
Away: 56%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (5.26 - 4.17 - 1.75)
HOMETEAM: 19%
24%
AWAYTEAM: 57%

Metz (Fact Index 5.26): Expected Win % is 19%, compared to a 38% actual win rate for identical index values.

Lyon (Fact Index 1.75): Expected Win % is 57%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 38%
15%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 72%
14%
Underdog : 14%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Metz : 23% (▲ 4%)
25% (▲ 1%)
Lyon : 54% (▼ 3%)


Average Odds : 4.7 - 3.9 - 1.7
Metz : 20% (▲ 1%)
24% (-)
Lyon : 55% (▼ 2%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 19%
D : 19%
AWAY : 62%

Awayteam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 23%
D : 30%
AWAY : 47%

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