Toulouse

0 - 1

Marseille

Toulouse Winless in 2 as Slump Continues. However, Marseille are riding a wave of 2 consecutive wins.

Sat, Mar 7, 2026 20:05 (UTC)

Facts

  • Toulouse Winless in 2 as Slump Continues.
  • Marseille are riding a wave of 2 consecutive wins.
  • Points Piling Up: Marseille reach 2 games unbeaten.

    • Marseille :
    Mason Greenwood 18'
    FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
    HEAD TO HEAD

    Last 10 games

    Home: 0%
    D: 44%
    Away: 56%

    Home vs Away

    Away vs Home

    These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

    FACT INDEX (4.00 - 2.86 - 2.50)
    HOMETEAM: 25%
    35%
    AWAYTEAM: 40%

    Toulouse (Fact Index 4.00): Expected Win % is 25%, compared to a 8% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Marseille (Fact Index 2.50): Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 54% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

    Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

    HOME : 8%
    38%
    AWAY : 54%

    The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

    Favorite : 86%
    14%
    Underdog : 0%

    PREDICTION
    Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 2.5 (Model A.)
    Toulouse : 33% (▲ 8%)
    26% (▼ 9%)
    Marseille : 41% (▲ 1%)

    Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.7 (Model B.3)
    Toulouse : 30% (▲ 5%)
    29% (▼ 6%)
    Marseille : 41% (▲ 1%)

    Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.3 / Data Completion Rate : 95.2%)

    Average Odds : 3.0 - 3.6 - 2.3
    Toulouse : 32% (▲ 7%)
    27% (▼ 8%)
    Marseille : 41% (▲ 1%)

    Odds Trend:

    HOME : 27%
    D : 23%
    AWAY : 50%

    Awayteam = 2.3 Trend:

    HOME : 27%
    D : 30%
    AWAY : 43%

    Toulouse

    Last 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-10 Toulouse 2 - 1 Lyon
    Ligue 1 2026-05-03 Strasbourg 1 - 2 Toulouse
    Ligue 1 2026-04-25 Toulouse 2 - 2 Monaco

    Next 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-17 Nantes - Toulouse


    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

    Marseille

    Last 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-10 Le Havre 0 - 1 Marseille
    Ligue 1 2026-05-02 Nantes 3 - 0 Marseille
    Ligue 1 2026-04-26 Marseille 1 - 1 Nice

    Next 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-17 Marseille - Rennes


    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

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