Machida Zelvia

2 - 1

Kawasaki Frontale

Points Piling Up: Machida Zelvia reach 16 games unbeaten.

Wed, Sep 2, 2026 10:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 29%
D: 43%
Away: 29%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.70 - 2.08 - 4.00)
HOMETEAM: 27%
48%
AWAYTEAM: 25%

Weight: [Close] (21.05)
Intensity: [Fierce] (78.95)

Machida Zelvia (Fact Index 3.70):
Expected Win % is 27%, compared to a 100% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Kawasaki Frontale (Fact Index 4.00):
Expected Win % is 25%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Machida Zelvia:
T : 0.750 (0.871 / ▼0.121)
P : 0.750 (0.871 / ▼0.121)

Kawasaki Frontale:
T : 0.250 (0.592 / ▼0.342)
P : 0.250 (0.592 / ▼0.342)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Machida Zelvia : 36% (▲ 9%)
37% (▼ 11%)
Kawasaki Frontale : 27% (▲ 2%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.8 - 2.1 (Model B.4)
Machida Zelvia : 34% (▲ 7%)
30% (▼ 18%)
Kawasaki Frontale : 36% (▲ 11%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 76.2%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.9 - 3.5 - 3.8
Machida Zelvia : 49% (▲ 22%)
27% (▼ 21%)
Kawasaki Frontale : 25% (-)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 2 game(s)

HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 1.9 (49%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 13%
AWAY : 30%


Football

Odds Trend: 26 game(s)

HOME : 58%
D : 27%
AWAY : 15%

Based on Home team = 1.9 (49%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 54%
D : 23%
AWAY : 23%


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