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Lille

Lille Extension: Marseille Slump Reaches 2 Games. Meanwhile, 7-Match Unbeaten Streak for Lille.

Sun, Mar 22, 2026 16:15 (UTC)

Facts

  • 7-Match Unbeaten Streak for Lille.
  • Lille Away Streak: 4 Games Unbeaten.
  • Road Warriors: Lille Grabs 3rd Straight Away Win.
  • Lille Extension: Marseille Slump Reaches 2 Games.
  • Lille Rolling: 2 Straight Wins.

    • Marseille :
    Ethan Nwaneri 43'
    Lille :
    Olivier Giroud 86'
    Thomas Meunier 49'
    FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
    HEAD TO HEAD

    Last 10 games

    Home: 10%
    D: 50%
    Away: 40%

    Home vs Away

    Away vs Home

    These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

    FACT INDEX (3.23 - 3.13 - 2.70)
    HOMETEAM: 31%
    32%
    AWAYTEAM: 37%

    Marseille (Fact Index 3.23): Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Lille (Fact Index 2.70): Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

    HOME : 30%
    30%
    AWAY : 40%

    The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

    Favorite : 37%
    33%
    Underdog : 30%

    PREDICTION
    Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
    Marseille : 40% (▲ 9%)
    29% (▼ 3%)
    Lille : 31% (▼ 6%)

    |Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
    T | Marseille | 0.577 | 0.649 | ▲ 0.072
    T | Lille | 0.500 | 0.562 | ▲ 0.062
    H | Marseille | 0.692 | 0.736 | ▲ 0.044
    A | Lille | 0.462 | 0.517 | ▲ 0.055
    P | Marseille | 0.500 | 0.357 | ▼ 0.143
    P | Lille | 0.500 | 0.711 | ▲ 0.211
    T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

    Expected Goals (xG) : 0.7 - 1.2 (Model B.4)
    Marseille : 16% (▼ 15%)
    36% (▲ 4%)
    Lille : 48% (▲ 11%)

    Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 90.5%)

    Average Odds : 1.9 - 3.7 - 3.8
    Marseille : 49% (▲ 18%)
    26% (▼ 6%)
    Lille : 25% (▼ 12%)

    Odds Trend:

    HOME : 43%
    D : 30%
    AWAY : 27%

    Hometeam = 1.9 Trend:

    HOME : 33%
    D : 40%
    AWAY : 27%

    Marseille

    Last 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-10 Le Havre 0 - 1 Marseille
    Ligue 1 2026-05-02 Nantes 3 - 0 Marseille
    Ligue 1 2026-04-26 Marseille 1 - 1 Nice

    Next 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-17 Marseille - Rennes


    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

    Lille

    Last 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-10 Monaco 0 - 1 Lille
    Ligue 1 2026-05-03 Lille 1 - 1 Le Havre
    Ligue 1 2026-04-26 Paris 0 - 1 Lille

    Next 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-17 Lille - Auxerre


    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

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