Auxerre

0 - 0

Nantes

Auxerre remains rock solid in their last 3 home fixtures. Conversely, Road form is strong: Nantes has gone 2 matches away without a loss.

Sat, Apr 11, 2026 17:00 (UTC)


Facts

Résumé 29ème journée | Ligue 1 McDonald's 25/26
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 17%
D: 33%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.23 - 3.45 - 2.50)
HOMETEAM: 31%
29%
AWAYTEAM: 40%

Auxerre (Fact Index 3.23): Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 46% actual win rate for identical index values.

Nantes (Fact Index 2.50): Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 46%
17%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 58%
17%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Auxerre : 36% (▲ 5%)
25% (▼ 4%)
Nantes : 39% (▼ 1%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Auxerre | 0.179 | 0.350 | ▲ 0.171
T | Nantes | 0.148 | 0.306 | ▲ 0.158
H | Auxerre | 0.286 | 0.454 | ▲ 0.168
A | Nantes | 0.154 | 0.303 | ▲ 0.149
P | Auxerre | 0.167 | 0.450 | ▲ 0.283
P | Nantes | 0.167 | 0.352 | ▲ 0.185
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.3 - 4.0
Auxerre : 47% (▲ 16%)
29% (-)
Nantes : 24% (▼ 16%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 23%
AWAY : 20%

Hometeam = 2.0 Trend:

HOME : 30%
D : 33%
AWAY : 37%

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