Monaco

0 - 1

Lille

Lille dominance: Monaco drop 3rd straight matchup. Conversely, Invincible: Lille go 13 matches without defeat.

Sun, May 10, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 30%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.57 - 4.00 - 2.13)
HOMETEAM: 28%
25%
AWAYTEAM: 47%

Monaco (Fact Index 3.57): Expected Win % is 28%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.

Lille (Fact Index 2.13): Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 27%
33%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 38%
33%
Underdog : 29%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Monaco : 39% (▲ 11%)
25% (-)
Lille : 36% (▼ 11%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Monaco | 0.500 | 0.550 | ▲ 0.050
T | Lille | 0.531 | 0.620 | ▲ 0.089
H | Monaco | 0.625 | 0.629 | ▲ 0.004
A | Lille | 0.563 | 0.596 | ▲ 0.033
P | Monaco | 0.500 | 0.500 | 0.000
P | Lille | 0.667 | 0.902 | ▲ 0.235
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.3 - 3.8 - 2.8
Monaco : 41% (▲ 13%)
25% (-)
Lille : 34% (▼ 13%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 20%
AWAY : 37%

Hometeam = 2.3 Trend:

HOME : 36%
D : 37%
AWAY : 27%

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