Marseille

3 - 1

Metz

Marseille Sweep Metz in Last 2 Matchups.

Fri, Apr 10, 2026 18:45 (UTC)


Facts

Marseille :
Hamed Junior Traorè 90' +3 (A. Gouiri)
Igor Paixão 48' (M. Greenwood)
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 13' (M. Greenwood)
Metz :
Georgiy Tsitaishvili 49' (G. Hein)
Résumé 29ème journée | Ligue 1 McDonald's 25/26
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 38%
D: 63%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.82 - 4.55 - 4.35)
HOMETEAM: 55%
22%
AWAYTEAM: 23%

Marseille (Fact Index 1.82): Expected Win % is 55%, compared to a 69% actual win rate for identical index values.

Metz (Fact Index 4.35): Expected Win % is 23%, compared to a 23% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 69%
8%
AWAY : 23%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 67%
8%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Marseille : 52% (▼ 3%)
24% (▲ 2%)
Metz : 24% (▲ 1%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Marseille | 0.536 | 0.626 | ▲ 0.090
T | Metz | 0.107 | 0.243 | ▲ 0.136
H | Marseille | 0.643 | 0.711 | ▲ 0.068
A | Metz | 0.071 | 0.188 | ▲ 0.117
P | Marseille | 0.500 | 0.457 | ▼ 0.043
P | Metz | 0.000 | 0.156 | ▲ 0.156
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 1.3 - 6.4 - 11.0
Marseille : 76% (▲ 21%)
15% (▼ 7%)
Metz : 9% (▼ 14%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 84%
D : 13%
AWAY : 3%

Hometeam = 1.3 Trend:

HOME : 73%
D : 20%
AWAY : 7%

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