Metz

0 - 3

Marseille

Sat, Oct 4, 2025 15:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 71%
Away: 29%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (5.88 - 2.63 - 2.22)
HOMETEAM: 17%
38%
AWAYTEAM: 45%

Metz (Fact Index 5.88): Expected Win % is 17%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Marseille (Fact Index 2.22): Expected Win % is 45%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 40%
20%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 75%
0%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Metz : 9% (▼ 8%)
44% (▲ 6%)
Marseille : 48% (▲ 3%)


Average Odds : 6.1 - 4.6 - 1.5
Metz : 16% (▼ 1%)
21% (▼ 17%)
Marseille : 64% (▲ 19%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 0%
D : 0%
AWAY : 100%

Awayteam = 1.5 Trend:

HOME : 13%
D : 7%
AWAY : 80%

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