Nottingham

4 - 1

Burnley

Momentum: 5 matches without a blemish for Nottingham. Conversely, Burnley Reeling: 3rd Consecutive Loss.

Sun, Apr 19, 2026 13:00 (UTC)


Facts

Nottingham :
Igor Jesus 90' +8
Morgan Gibbs-White 77', 69', 62'
Burnley :
Zian Flemming 45' +2
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 40%
Away: 20%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.50 - 3.03 - 3.70)
HOMETEAM: 40%
33%
AWAYTEAM: 27%

Nottingham (Fact Index 2.50): Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Burnley (Fact Index 3.70): Expected Win % is 27%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 40%
30%
AWAY : 30%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 30%
40%
Underdog : 30%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Nottingham : 38% (▼ 2%)
29% (▼ 4%)
Burnley : 33% (▲ 6%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Nottingham | 0.250 | 0.398 | ▲ 0.148
T | Burnley | 0.125 | 0.301 | ▲ 0.176
H | Nottingham | 0.188 | 0.386 | ▲ 0.198
A | Burnley | 0.125 | 0.275 | ▲ 0.150
P | Nottingham | 0.167 | 0.550 | ▲ 0.383
P | Burnley | 0.000 | 0.243 | ▲ 0.243
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 1.5 - 4.3 - 6.6
Nottingham : 63% (▲ 23%)
22% (▼ 11%)
Burnley : 15% (▼ 12%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 30%
AWAY : 10%

Hometeam = 1.5 Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 33%
AWAY : 20%

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy