Arsenal

3 - 0

Sunderland

Sat, Feb 7, 2026 15:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 67%
D: 33%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.00 - 2.94 - 6.25)
HOMETEAM: 50%
34%
AWAYTEAM: 16%

Arsenal (Fact Index 2.00): Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Sunderland (Fact Index 6.25): Expected Win % is 16%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 40%
30%
AWAY : 30%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 37%
38%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 0.5 (Model A.)
Arsenal : 66% (▲ 16%)
26% (▼ 8%)
Sunderland : 8% (▼ 8%)


Average Odds : 1.2 - 6.2 - 13.8
Arsenal : 78% (▲ 28%)
15% (▼ 19%)
Sunderland : 7% (▼ 9%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 86%
D : 7%
AWAY : 7%

Hometeam = 1.2 Trend:

HOME : 87%
D : 10%
AWAY : 3%

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