Lyon

2 - 3

PSG

Sun, Nov 9, 2025 19:45 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 10%
Away: 70%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.57 - 4.76 - 1.92)
HOMETEAM: 28%
21%
AWAYTEAM: 52%

Lyon (Fact Index 3.57): Expected Win % is 28%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

PSG (Fact Index 1.92): Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 22% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 33%
45%
AWAY : 22%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 25%
50%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Lyon : 33% (▲ 5%)
23% (▲ 2%)
PSG : 45% (▼ 7%)


Average Odds : 4.0 - 3.9 - 1.9
Lyon : 24% (▼ 4%)
24% (▲ 3%)
PSG : 52% (-)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 32%
D : 18%
AWAY : 50%

Awayteam = 1.9 Trend:

HOME : 33%
D : 30%
AWAY : 37%

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