Cruzeiro

3 - 3

Vasco

Cruzeiro Home Ties Hit 2: Still No Breakthrough. However, Steel and Grit: 2 fixtures undefeated for Vasco.

Mon, Mar 16, 2026 01:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 29%
D: 57%
Away: 14%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.33 - 2.86 - 2.86)
HOMETEAM: 30%
35%
AWAYTEAM: 35%

Weight: [Close] (21.05)
Intensity: [Fierce] (78.95)

Cruzeiro (Fact Index 3.33):
Expected Win % is 30%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Vasco (Fact Index 2.86):
Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Cruzeiro:
T : 0.000 (0.212 / ▼0.212)
P : 0.000 (0.212 / ▼0.212)

Vasco:
T : 0.200 (0.392 / ▼0.192)
P : 0.200 (0.392 / ▼0.192)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
100%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
100%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 37%
30%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 24 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
25%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 3.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Cruzeiro : 54% (▲ 24%)
25% (▼ 10%)
Vasco : 21% (▼ 14%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 0.9 - 1.1 (Model B.4)
Cruzeiro : 25% (▼ 5%)
33% (▼ 2%)
Vasco : 42% (▲ 7%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 76.2%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.7 - 3.7 - 5.3
Cruzeiro : 57% (▲ 27%)
25% (▼ 10%)
Vasco : 18% (▼ 17%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 12 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 33%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (57%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 66%
D : 27%
AWAY : 7%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 30%
AWAY : 13%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (57%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 17%
AWAY : 23%


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