Manchester Utd

3 - 2

Liverpool

Manchester Utd confirms a run of 3 straight victories.

Sun, May 3, 2026 14:30 (UTC)


Facts

Manchester Utd :
Kobbie Mainoo 77'
Benjamin Šeško 14'
Matheus Cunha 6'
Liverpool :
Cody Gakpo 56'
Dominik Szoboszlai 47'
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 30%
Away: 30%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.38 - 4.35 - 2.86)
HOMETEAM: 42%
23%
AWAYTEAM: 35%

Manchester Utd (Fact Index 2.38): Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.

Liverpool (Fact Index 2.86): Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 57%
13%
AWAY : 30%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 63%
11%
Underdog : 26%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 2.5 (Model A.)
Manchester Utd : 31% (▼ 11%)
21% (▼ 2%)
Liverpool : 48% (▲ 13%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Manchester Utd | 0.500 | 0.586 | ▲ 0.086
T | Liverpool | 0.500 | 0.583 | ▲ 0.083
H | Manchester Utd | 0.647 | 0.657 | ▲ 0.010
A | Liverpool | 0.412 | 0.487 | ▲ 0.075
P | Manchester Utd | 0.500 | 0.572 | ▲ 0.072
P | Liverpool | 0.500 | 0.614 | ▲ 0.114
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.3 - 3.8 - 2.8
Manchester Utd : 41% (▼ 1%)
25% (▲ 2%)
Liverpool : 34% (▼ 1%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 20%
AWAY : 37%

Hometeam = 2.3 Trend:

HOME : 34%
D : 33%
AWAY : 33%

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