Brest

3 - 3

Lens

Brest remains in a win-draw cycle: 2 consecutive stalemates. Meanwhile, Points Piling Up: Lens reach 2 games unbeaten.

Fri, Apr 24, 2026 18:45 (UTC)

Facts

  • Brest remains in a win-draw cycle: 2 consecutive stalemates.
  • Fortress Brest: 2-match unbeaten streak.
  • Points Piling Up: Lens reach 2 games unbeaten.

    • Brest :
    Junior Dina Ebimbe 42'
    Lucas Tousart 24'
    Daouda Guindo 7'
    Lens :
    Allan Saint-Maximin 90' +4
    Abdallah Sima 64'
    Florian Thauvin 60'
    FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
    HEAD TO HEAD

    Last 10 games

    Home: 20%
    D: 20%
    Away: 60%

    Home vs Away

    Away vs Home

    These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

    FACT INDEX (3.85 - 7.69 - 1.64)
    HOMETEAM: 26%
    13%
    AWAYTEAM: 61%

    Brest (Fact Index 3.85): Expected Win % is 26%, compared to a 14% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Lens (Fact Index 1.64): Expected Win % is 61%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

    Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

    HOME : 14%
    29%
    AWAY : 57%

    The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

    Favorite : 60%
    40%
    Underdog : 0%

    PREDICTION
    Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 2.0 (Model A.)
    Brest : 28% (▲ 2%)
    17% (▲ 4%)
    Lens : 55% (▼ 6%)

    |Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
    T | Brest | 0.345 | 0.452 | ▲ 0.107
    T | Lens | 0.690 | 0.707 | ▲ 0.017
    H | Brest | 0.500 | 0.597 | ▲ 0.097
    A | Lens | 0.500 | 0.579 | ▲ 0.079
    P | Brest | 0.333 | 0.386 | ▲ 0.053
    P | Lens | 0.500 | 0.617 | ▲ 0.117
    T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

    Average Odds : 4.8 - 4.1 - 1.7
    Brest : 20% (▼ 6%)
    24% (▲ 11%)
    Lens : 56% (▼ 5%)

    Odds Trend:

    HOME : 13%
    D : 20%
    AWAY : 67%

    Awayteam = 1.7 Trend:

    HOME : 20%
    D : 27%
    AWAY : 53%

    Brest

    Last 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-13 Brest 1 - 2 Strasbourg
    Ligue 1 2026-05-10 PSG 1 - 0 Brest
    Ligue 1 2026-05-03 Paris 4 - 0 Brest

    Next 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-17 Brest - Angers


    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

    Lens

    Last 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-13 Lens 0 - 2 PSG
    Ligue 1 2026-05-08 Lens 1 - 0 Nantes
    Ligue 1 2026-05-02 Nice 1 - 1 Lens

    Next 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-17 Lyon - Lens
    Coupe de France 2026-05-22 Lens - Nice

    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

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