Minnesota United

2 - 2

Austin

Minnesota United-Austin Deadlock: 2nd Consecutive Draw. Conversely, Points Piling Up: Austin FC reach 3 games unbeaten.

Sun, May 10, 2026 23:00 (UTC)

Facts

  • Points Piling Up: Austin FC reach 3 games unbeaten.
  • Minnesota United-Austin Deadlock: 2nd Consecutive Draw.
  • Steel and Grit: 2 fixtures undefeated for Minnesota United.

    • FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
    HEAD TO HEAD

    Last 10 games

    Home: 30%
    D: 30%
    Away: 40%

    Home vs Away

    Away vs Home

    These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

    FACT INDEX (2.22 - 3.45 - 3.85)
    HOMETEAM: 45%
    29%
    AWAYTEAM: 26%

    Minnesota United (Fact Index 2.22): Expected Win % is 45%, compared to a 55% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Austin (Fact Index 3.85): Expected Win % is 26%, compared to a 14% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

    HOME : 55%
    31%
    AWAY : 14%

    The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

    Favorite : 65%
    30%
    Underdog : 5%

    PREDICTION
    Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
    Minnesota United : 41% (▼ 4%)
    27% (▼ 2%)
    Austin : 32% (▲ 6%)

    |Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
    T | Minnesota United | 0.545 | 0.457 | ▼ 0.088
    T | Austin | 0.273 | 0.444 | ▲ 0.171
    H | Minnesota United | 0.500 | 0.807 | ▲ 0.307
    A | Austin | 0.000 | 0.306 | ▲ 0.306
    P | Minnesota United | 0.833 | 0.711 | ▼ 0.122
    P | Austin | 0.333 | 0.472 | ▲ 0.139
    T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

    Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.3 (Model B.4)
    Minnesota United : 42% (▼ 3%)
    30% (▲ 1%)
    Austin : 28% (▲ 2%)

    Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 95.2%)

    Average Odds : 1.7 - 3.9 - 4.7
    Minnesota United : 56% (▲ 11%)
    24% (▼ 5%)
    Austin : 20% (▼ 6%)

    Odds Trend:

    HOME : 53%
    D : 30%
    AWAY : 17%

    Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

    HOME : 40%
    D : 33%
    AWAY : 27%

    Minnesota United

    Last 3:
    MLS 2026-05-23 Minnesota United 1 - 1 Salt Lake
    MLS 2026-05-16 New England 2 - 1 Minnesota United
    MLS 2026-05-14 Minnesota United 0 - 1 Colorado Rapids

    Next 3:



    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

    Austin

    Last 3:
    MLS 2026-05-23 St. Louis City 3 - 0 Austin
    MLS 2026-05-17 Austin 1 - 2 Kansas City
    MLS 2026-05-14 San Diego 5 - 0 Austin

    Next 3:



    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

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