Brighton
3 - 0
Chelsea
Tactical Masterclass: Brighton reach 5 without dropping all points. Meanwhile, Chelsea is battling through a 5-match win drought.
Tue, Apr 21, 2026 19:00 (UTC)
Facts
Danny Welbeck 90' +1
Jack Hinshelwood 56'
Ferdi Kadıoğlu 3'
Last 10 games
Home vs Away
Away vs Home
These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.
Brighton (Fact Index 1.92): Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 61% actual win rate for identical index values.
Chelsea (Fact Index 3.23): Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.
Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.
The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 2.0 (Model A.)
|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Brighton | 0.364 | 0.546 | ▲ 0.182
T | Chelsea | 0.394 | 0.575 | ▲ 0.181
H | Brighton | 0.438 | 0.610 | ▲ 0.172
A | Chelsea | 0.438 | 0.614 | ▲ 0.176
P | Brighton | 0.667 | 0.682 | ▲ 0.015
P | Chelsea | 0.167 | 0.264 | ▲ 0.097
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)
Average Odds : 2.5 - 3.7 - 2.7
Odds Trend:
Hometeam = 2.5 Trend:
Last 3:
Premier League 2026-05-09 Liverpool 1 - 1 Chelsea
Premier League 2026-05-04 Chelsea 1 - 3 Nottingham
FA Cup 2026-04-26 Chelsea 1 - 0 Leeds
Next 3:
FA Cup 2026-05-16 Chelsea - Manchester City
Last 20 games
HOME :
AWAY :