Le Havre

4 - 4

Metz

Le Havre Struggles to Separate 4 Draws in a Row.

Sun, Apr 26, 2026 15:15 (UTC)


Facts

Le Havre :
Fodé Doucouré 61'
Yanis Zouaoui 52' (Pen.)
Yassine Kechta 13'
Mbwana Ally Samatta 5'
Metz :
Gauthier Hein 85', 45' +5 (Pen.)
Jahyann Pandore 54'
Giorgi Kvilitaia 9'
Scénario INCROYABLE au Havre où Metz REVIENT par 4 fois | 31ème journée - Ligue 1 McDonald's 25/26
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 75%
Away: 25%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.38 - 2.78 - 4.55)
HOMETEAM: 42%
36%
AWAYTEAM: 22%

Le Havre (Fact Index 2.38): Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Metz (Fact Index 4.55): Expected Win % is 22%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
23%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 46%
23%
Underdog : 31%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 0.5 (Model A.)
Le Havre : 52% (▲ 10%)
31% (▼ 5%)
Metz : 17% (▼ 5%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Le Havre | 0.200 | 0.367 | ▲ 0.167
T | Metz | 0.100 | 0.238 | ▲ 0.138
H | Le Havre | 0.333 | 0.567 | ▲ 0.234
A | Metz | 0.067 | 0.188 | ▲ 0.121
P | Le Havre | 0.000 | 0.352 | ▲ 0.352
P | Metz | 0.000 | 0.224 | ▲ 0.224
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 1.7 - 3.9 - 5.2
Le Havre : 58% (▲ 16%)
24% (▼ 12%)
Metz : 18% (▼ 4%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 87%
D : 10%
AWAY : 3%

Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 20%
AWAY : 33%

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