Santos Laguna

2 - 1

Juarez

2 Unbeaten for Santos Laguna in Front of Home Fans. Meanwhile, Juarez Form has dropped with a 8-match slump.

Mon, Sep 14, 2026 01:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 33%
D: 11%
Away: 56%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.63 - 7.14 - 2.08)
HOMETEAM: 38%
14%
AWAYTEAM: 48%

Weight: [Adjacent] (5.88)
Intensity: [Extreme] (94.12)

Santos Laguna (Fact Index 2.63):
Expected Win % is 38%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Juarez (Fact Index 2.08):
Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 25% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Santos Laguna:
T : 0.000 (0.193 / ▼0.193)
A : 0.000 (0.233 / ▼0.233)
P : 0.000 (0.124 / ▼0.124)

Juarez:
T : 0.000 (0.074 / ▼0.074)
H : 0.000 (0.110 / ▼0.110)
P : 0.000 (0.078 / ▼0.078)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 8 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
25%
AWAY : 25%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 5 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
20%
Underdog : 20%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 0.8 (Model A.)
Santos Laguna : 51% (▲ 13%)
18% (▲ 4%)
Juarez : 31% (▼ 17%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 1.3 (Model B.4)
Santos Laguna : 36% (▼ 2%)
24% (▲ 10%)
Juarez : 40% (▼ 8%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 81%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.7 - 3.4
Santos Laguna : 47% (▲ 9%)
25% (▲ 11%)
Juarez : 27% (▼ 21%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 2 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Home team = 2.0 (47%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 30%
AWAY : 27%


Football

Odds Trend: 12 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 50%
AWAY : 17%

Based on Home team = 2.0 (47%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 30%
D : 40%
AWAY : 30%


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