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PSG

2 - 0

Liverpool

Refusing to Yield: PSG’s 6-match unbeaten run. Conversely, Liverpool struggling to perform on the road, losing 2 consecutive games.

Wed, Apr 8, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

PSG :
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 65'
Désiré Doué 11'
A: João Neves 65'
Highlights: PSG 2-0 Liverpool | First-Leg Defeat in Paris | Champions League
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 75%
D: 0%
Away: 25%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.44 - 4.76 - 2.63)
HOMETEAM: 41%
21%
AWAYTEAM: 38%

PSG (Fact Index 2.44): Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 41% actual win rate for identical index values.

Liverpool (Fact Index 2.63): Expected Win % is 38%, compared to a 36% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 41%
23%
AWAY : 36%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 61%
31%
Underdog : 8%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 2.5 (Model A.)
PSG : 42% (▲ 1%)
19% (▼ 2%)
Liverpool : 39% (▲ 1%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | PSG | 0.583 | 0.711 | ▲ 0.128
T | Liverpool | 0.700 | 0.782 | ▲ 0.082
H | PSG | 0.500 | 0.682 | ▲ 0.182
A | Liverpool | 0.600 | 0.807 | ▲ 0.207
P | PSG | 0.500 | 0.660 | ▲ 0.160
P | Liverpool | 0.667 | 0.807 | ▲ 0.140
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 1.7 - 4.2 - 4.5
PSG : 55% (▲ 14%)
23% (▲ 2%)
Liverpool : 22% (▼ 16%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 27%
AWAY : 13%

Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 33%
AWAY : 7%

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