Arsenal

2 - 1

Brighton

Sat, Dec 27, 2025 15:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 20%
Away: 20%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.82 - 3.85 - 5.00)
HOMETEAM: 55%
26%
AWAYTEAM: 20%

Arsenal (Fact Index 1.82): Expected Win % is 55%, compared to a 100% actual win rate for identical index values.

Brighton (Fact Index 5.00): Expected Win % is 20%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Arsenal : 52% (▼ 3%)
30% (▲ 4%)
Brighton : 19% (▼ 1%)


Average Odds : 1.4 - 5.0 - 7.9
Arsenal : 69% (▲ 14%)
19% (▼ 7%)
Brighton : 12% (▼ 8%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 80%
D : 17%
AWAY : 3%

Hometeam = 1.4 Trend:

HOME : 63%
D : 17%
AWAY : 20%

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