Lorient

1 - 1

PSG

Wed, Oct 29, 2025 18:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 22%
D: 33%
Away: 44%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.76 - 3.57 - 1.96)
HOMETEAM: 21%
28%
AWAYTEAM: 51%

Lorient (Fact Index 4.76): Expected Win % is 21%, compared to a 29% actual win rate for identical index values.

PSG (Fact Index 1.96): Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 29%
14%
AWAY : 57%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
17%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 2.5 (Model A.)
Lorient : 23% (▲ 2%)
27% (▼ 1%)
PSG : 51% (-)


Average Odds : 10.9 - 6.6 - 1.3
Lorient : 9% (▼ 12%)
15% (▼ 13%)
PSG : 76% (▲ 25%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 11%
D : 16%
AWAY : 73%

Awayteam = 1.3 Trend:

HOME : 3%
D : 17%
AWAY : 80%

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