USA

2 - 0

Australia

Unbeaten at Home: USA's Run Hits 9.

Fri, Jun 19, 2026 19:00 (UTC) / Host: USA, CANADA, MEXICO


Facts

Highlights | USA 1-4 Belgium | FIFA World Cup 2026™
Highlights | Australia (2)1-1(4) Egypt | FIFA World Cup 2026™
Highlights | USA 2-0 Bosnia And Herzegovina | FIFA World Cup 2026™
Mexico 1-0 Australia | Extended Highlights | International Friendly
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 100%
D: 0%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.94 - 3.13 - 2.94)
HOMETEAM: 34%
32%
AWAYTEAM: 34%

USA (Fact Index 2.94):
Expected Win % is 34%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Australia (Fact Index 2.94):
Expected Win % is 34%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
23%
AWAY : 30%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 26 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 62%
23%
Underdog : 15%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
USA : 39% (▲ 5%)
28% (▼ 4%)
Australia : 33% (▼ 1%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.8 - 1.7 (Model B.4)
USA : 46% (▲ 12%)
23% (▼ 9%)
Australia : 31% (▼ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 66.7%)


Average Odds : 1.6 - 4.6 - 5.7
USA : 61% (▲ 27%)
22% (▼ 10%)
Australia : 17% (▼ 17%)

Data Source: Oddsportal
Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)
HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%
* in this Competition.

Based on Home team = 1.6 Trend: 30 game(s)
HOME : 56%
D : 37%
AWAY : 7%


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