Liverpool

2 - 0

Fulham

Home form is rock solid: Liverpool has gone 3 matches at home without a loss.

Sat, Apr 11, 2026 16:30 (UTC)


Facts

Liverpool :
Mohamed Salah 40' (Cody Gakpo)
Rio Ngumoha 36' (Florian Wirtz)
Extended Highlights: Liverpool 2-0 Fulham | Ngumoha & Salah Secure Premier League Win
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 40%
Away: 10%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.44 - 3.70 - 3.13)
HOMETEAM: 41%
27%
AWAYTEAM: 32%

Liverpool (Fact Index 2.44): Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.

Fulham (Fact Index 3.13): Expected Win % is 32%, compared to a 23% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 57%
20%
AWAY : 23%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 46%
27%
Underdog : 27%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Liverpool : 45% (▲ 4%)
24% (▼ 3%)
Fulham : 31% (▼ 1%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Liverpool | 0.452 | 0.556 | ▲ 0.104
T | Fulham | 0.419 | 0.493 | ▲ 0.074
H | Liverpool | 0.533 | 0.646 | ▲ 0.113
A | Fulham | 0.267 | 0.359 | ▲ 0.092
P | Liverpool | 0.500 | 0.614 | ▲ 0.114
P | Fulham | 0.500 | 0.543 | ▲ 0.043
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 1.6 - 4.3 - 4.9
Liverpool : 59% (▲ 18%)
22% (▼ 5%)
Fulham : 19% (▼ 13%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 17%
AWAY : 23%

Hometeam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 70%
D : 13%
AWAY : 17%

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