Lorient

1 - 1

Paris

Unbeaten at Home: Lorient's Run Hits 12. Conversely, Unbeaten on the Road: Paris FC Run Hits 6.

Sun, Apr 5, 2026 15:15 (UTC)

Facts

  • Unbeaten at Home: Lorient's Run Hits 12.
  • 6-Match Unbeaten Streak for Paris FC.
  • Unbeaten on the Road: Paris FC Run Hits 6.
  • Paris is forced to split the points for the 5th straight away match.

    • Lorient :
    Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 54'
    Paris :
    Marshall Munetsi 74'
    FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
    HEAD TO HEAD

    Last 10 games

    Home: 50%
    D: 25%
    Away: 25%

    Home vs Away

    Away vs Home

    These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

    FACT INDEX (2.94 - 2.44 - 4.00)
    HOMETEAM: 34%
    41%
    AWAYTEAM: 25%

    Lorient (Fact Index 2.94): Expected Win % is 34%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Paris (Fact Index 4.00): Expected Win % is 25%, compared to a 25% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

    Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

    HOME : 50%
    25%
    AWAY : 25%

    The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

    Favorite : 40%
    20%
    Underdog : 40%

    PREDICTION
    Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)
    Lorient : 34% (-)
    37% (▼ 4%)
    Paris : 29% (▲ 4%)

    |Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
    T | Lorient | 0.333 | 0.467 | ▲ 0.134
    T | Paris | 0.259 | 0.405 | ▲ 0.146
    H | Lorient | 0.538 | 0.601 | ▲ 0.063
    A | Paris | 0.214 | 0.402 | ▲ 0.188
    P | Lorient | 0.333 | 0.572 | ▲ 0.239
    P | Paris | 0.333 | 0.371 | ▲ 0.038
    T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

    Average Odds : 2.3 - 3.3 - 3.3
    Lorient : 42% (▲ 8%)
    29% (▼ 12%)
    Paris : 29% (▲ 4%)

    Odds Trend:

    HOME : 40%
    D : 20%
    AWAY : 40%

    Hometeam = 2.3 Trend:

    HOME : 36%
    D : 37%
    AWAY : 27%

    Lorient

    Last 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-10 Metz 0 - 4 Lorient
    Ligue 1 2026-05-02 PSG 2 - 2 Lorient
    Ligue 1 2026-04-26 Lorient 2 - 3 Strasbourg

    Next 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-17 Lorient - Le Havre


    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

    Paris

    Last 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-10 Rennes 2 - 1 Paris
    Ligue 1 2026-05-03 Paris 4 - 0 Brest
    Ligue 1 2026-04-26 Paris 0 - 1 Lille

    Next 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-17 Paris - PSG


    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

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