PSG

2 - 0

Auxerre

Sat, Sep 27, 2025 19:05 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 83%
D: 17%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.52 - 6.67 - 5.26)
HOMETEAM: 66%
15%
AWAYTEAM: 19%

PSG (Fact Index 1.52): Expected Win % is 66%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Auxerre (Fact Index 5.26): Expected Win % is 19%, compared to a 10% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
40%
AWAY : 10%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 56%
44%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 0.5 (Model A.)
PSG : 75% (▲ 9%)
16% (▲ 1%)
Auxerre : 10% (▼ 9%)


Average Odds : 1.2 - 8.7 - 15.2
PSG : 83% (▲ 17%)
11% (▼ 4%)
Auxerre : 6% (▼ 13%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 84%
D : 13%
AWAY : 3%

Hometeam = 1.2 Trend:

HOME : 87%
D : 13%
AWAY : 0%

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