Manchester City

3 - 0

Crystal Palace

Manchester City Home Guardians: 17-Match Unbeaten Streak. Conversely, Crystal Palace Road Trip Hell: 3rd Straight Away Loss.

Wed, May 13, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 30%
Away: 10%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.89 - 3.70 - 5.00)
HOMETEAM: 53%
27%
AWAYTEAM: 20%

Manchester City (Fact Index 1.89): Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 61% actual win rate for identical index values.

Crystal Palace (Fact Index 5.00): Expected Win % is 20%, compared to a 31% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 61%
8%
AWAY : 31%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 55%
9%
Underdog : 36%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Manchester City : 63% (▲ 10%)
22% (▼ 5%)
Crystal Palace : 15% (▼ 5%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Manchester City | 0.629 | 0.742 | ▲ 0.113
T | Crystal Palace | 0.314 | 0.452 | ▲ 0.138
H | Manchester City | 0.765 | 0.832 | ▲ 0.067
A | Crystal Palace | 0.412 | 0.455 | ▲ 0.043
P | Manchester City | 0.667 | 0.776 | ▲ 0.109
P | Crystal Palace | 0.167 | 0.318 | ▲ 0.151
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 1.2 - 7.6 - 12.5
Manchester City : 79% (▲ 26%)
13% (▼ 14%)
Crystal Palace : 8% (▼ 12%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 83%
D : 14%
AWAY : 3%

Hometeam = 1.2 Trend:

HOME : 87%
D : 10%
AWAY : 3%

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