Internacional

4 - 1

Vasco

Invincible: Internacional go 4 matches without defeat.

Sat, May 16, 2026 21:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 57%
D: 14%
Away: 29%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.33 - 2.78 - 2.94)
HOMETEAM: 30%
36%
AWAYTEAM: 34%

Weight: [Close] (26.32)
Intensity: [Fierce] (73.68)

Internacional (Fact Index 3.33):
Expected Win % is 30%, compared to a 32% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 67% in this event.

Vasco (Fact Index 2.94):
Expected Win % is 34%, compared to a 32% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Internacional:
T : 0.267 (0.500 / ▼0.233)
H : 0.250 (0.457 / ▼0.207)
P : 0.333 (0.592 / ▼0.259)

Vasco:
T : 0.333 (0.500 / ▼0.167)
A : 0.000 (0.408 / ▼0.408)
P : 0.333 (0.500 / ▼0.167)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 67%
33%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
33%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 19 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 32%
36%
AWAY : 32%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 16 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 31%
44%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Internacional : 40% (▲ 10%)
30% (▼ 6%)
Vasco : 30% (▼ 4%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 1.5 (Model B.4)
Internacional : 35% (▲ 5%)
31% (▼ 5%)
Vasco : 34% (-)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.3 - 3.9
Internacional : 48% (▲ 18%)
28% (▼ 8%)
Vasco : 24% (▼ 10%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 13 game(s)

HOME : 77%
D : 23%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 2.0 (48%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 27%
AWAY : 23%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 30%
AWAY : 13%

Based on Home team = 2.0 (48%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 44%
AWAY : 23%


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