Burnley

0 - 2

Brighton

Burnley stuck in 2-game skid against Brighton. Conversely, Brighton Proves Tough to Beat Away from Home.

Sat, Apr 11, 2026 14:00 (UTC)


Facts

Brighton :
Mats Wieffer 89', 43'
EVERY Weekend Goal | Matchweek 32 | 2025/26 Premier League Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 13%
D: 50%
Away: 38%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.57 - 3.57 - 2.27)
HOMETEAM: 28%
28%
AWAYTEAM: 44%

Burnley (Fact Index 3.57): Expected Win % is 28%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.

Brighton (Fact Index 2.27): Expected Win % is 44%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 30%
33%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 57%
33%
Underdog : 10%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 2.5 (Model A.)
Burnley : 23% (▼ 5%)
23% (▼ 5%)
Brighton : 54% (▲ 10%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Burnley | 0.129 | 0.310 | ▲ 0.181
T | Brighton | 0.355 | 0.533 | ▲ 0.178
H | Burnley | 0.133 | 0.365 | ▲ 0.232
A | Brighton | 0.267 | 0.447 | ▲ 0.180
P | Burnley | 0.167 | 0.371 | ▲ 0.204
P | Brighton | 0.667 | 0.674 | ▲ 0.007
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 4.4 - 4.1 - 1.7
Burnley : 22% (▼ 6%)
24% (▼ 4%)
Brighton : 54% (▲ 10%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 20%
D : 33%
AWAY : 47%

Awayteam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 20%
D : 33%
AWAY : 47%

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