Last 10 games

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

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Nottingham (Fact Index 3.33): Expected Win % is 30%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Aston Villa (Fact Index 2.08): Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Nottingham | 0.258 | 0.395 | ▲ 0.137
T | Aston Villa | 0.516 | 0.541 | ▲ 0.025
H | Nottingham | 0.200 | 0.379 | ▲ 0.179
A | Aston Villa | 0.400 | 0.452 | ▲ 0.052
P | Nottingham | 0.167 | 0.559 | ▲ 0.392
P | Aston Villa | 0.333 | 0.340 | ▲ 0.007
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Average Odds : 2.7 - 3.3 - 2.7

Odds Trend:

Hometeam 2.7 = 2.7 Awayteam Trend:

Last 3:
Premier League 2026-04-19 Nottingham 4 - 1 Burnley
Europa League 2026-04-16 Nottingham 1 - 0 Porto
Europa League 2026-04-09 Porto 1 - 1 Nottingham

Next 3:
Premier League 2026-04-24 Sunderland - Nottingham
Europa League 2026-04-30 Nottingham - Aston Villa
Premier League 2026-05-04 Chelsea - Nottingham

Last 20 games

HOME :

AWAY :

Last 3:
Premier League 2026-04-19 Aston Villa 4 - 3 Sunderland
Europa League 2026-04-16 Aston Villa 4 - 0 Bologna
Europa League 2026-04-09 Bologna 1 - 3 Aston Villa

Next 3:
Premier League 2026-04-25 Fulham - Aston Villa
Europa League 2026-04-30 Nottingham - Aston Villa
Premier League 2026-05-03 Aston Villa - Tottenham

Last 20 games

HOME :

AWAY :