Aston Villa

1 - 1

Leeds

Milestone: Aston Villa hit 3 matches without a loss. However, Unbeaten on the Road: Leeds Run Hits 3.

Sat, Feb 21, 2026 15:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 38%
Away: 13%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.27 - 3.45 - 3.70)
HOMETEAM: 44%
29%
AWAYTEAM: 27%

Aston Villa (Fact Index 2.27): Expected Win % is 44%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.

Leeds (Fact Index 3.70): Expected Win % is 27%, compared to a 20% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 60%
20%
AWAY : 20%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 57%
24%
Underdog : 19%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Aston Villa : 42% (▼ 2%)
25% (▼ 4%)
Leeds : 33% (▲ 6%)


Average Odds : 1.9 - 3.6 - 4.4
Aston Villa : 52% (▲ 8%)
26% (▼ 3%)
Leeds : 22% (▼ 5%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 46%
D : 27%
AWAY : 27%

Hometeam = 1.9 Trend:

HOME : 33%
D : 37%
AWAY : 30%

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