Lille

0 - 1

Lyon

Sun, Sep 28, 2025 15:15 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 10%
D: 30%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.03 - 4.55 - 2.17)
HOMETEAM: 33%
22%
AWAYTEAM: 46%

Lille (Fact Index 3.03): Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 29% actual win rate for identical index values.

Lyon (Fact Index 2.17): Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 42% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 29%
29%
AWAY : 42%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 34%
33%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Lille : 42% (▲ 9%)
28% (▲ 6%)
Lyon : 32% (▼ 14%)


Average Odds : 2.3 - 3.5 - 3.2
Lille : 42% (▲ 9%)
28% (▲ 6%)
Lyon : 30% (▼ 16%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 53%
D : 20%
AWAY : 27%

Hometeam = 2.3 Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 30%
AWAY : 27%

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