Seoul

1 - 0

Incheon Utd

Seoul Dominate Incheon Utd with 4th Straight Win.

Sun, Jul 5, 2026 10:30 (UTC)


Facts

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FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 30%
Away: 20%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.56 - 4.00 - 2.78)
HOMETEAM: 39%
25%
AWAYTEAM: 36%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (45.45)
Intensity: [Moderate] (54.55)

Seoul (Fact Index 2.56):
Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 34% in this event.

Incheon Utd (Fact Index 2.78):
Expected Win % is 36%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 33% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Seoul:
T : 0.667 (0.742 / ▼0.075)
H : 0.500 (0.788 / ▼0.288)
P : 0.500 (0.543 / ▼0.043)

Incheon Utd:
T : 0.400 (0.568 / ▼0.168)
A : 0.429 (0.643 / ▼0.214)
P : 0.500 (0.858 / ▼0.358)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 34%
33%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 40%
30%
AWAY : 30%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
33%
Underdog : 17%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Seoul : 38% (▼ 1%)
25% (-)
Incheon Utd : 37% (▲ 1%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.1 (Model B.4)
Seoul : 38% (▼ 1%)
26% (▲ 1%)
Incheon Utd : 36% (-)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 71.4%)


Average Odds : 1.9 - 3.4 - 4.0
Seoul : 49% (▲ 10%)
28% (▲ 3%)
Incheon Utd : 23% (▼ 13%)

Data Source: Oddsportal
Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)
HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%
* in this Competition.

Based on Home team = 1.9 Trend: 30 game(s)
HOME : 63%
D : 10%
AWAY : 27%


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